BEGIN:VCALENDAR
VERSION:2.0
PRODID:-//Departamento de Economía Universidad Carlos III - ECPv6.17.0//NONSGML v1.0//EN
CALSCALE:GREGORIAN
METHOD:PUBLISH
X-ORIGINAL-URL:https://economia.uc3m.es
X-WR-CALDESC:Eventos para Departamento de Economía Universidad Carlos III
REFRESH-INTERVAL;VALUE=DURATION:PT1H
X-Robots-Tag:noindex
X-PUBLISHED-TTL:PT1H
BEGIN:VTIMEZONE
TZID:Europe/Madrid
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZOFFSETFROM:+0100
TZOFFSETTO:+0200
TZNAME:CEST
DTSTART:20250330T010000
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:STANDARD
TZOFFSETFROM:+0200
TZOFFSETTO:+0100
TZNAME:CET
DTSTART:20251026T010000
END:STANDARD
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZOFFSETFROM:+0100
TZOFFSETTO:+0200
TZNAME:CEST
DTSTART:20260329T010000
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:STANDARD
TZOFFSETFROM:+0200
TZOFFSETTO:+0100
TZNAME:CET
DTSTART:20261025T010000
END:STANDARD
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZOFFSETFROM:+0100
TZOFFSETTO:+0200
TZNAME:CEST
DTSTART:20270328T010000
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:STANDARD
TZOFFSETFROM:+0200
TZOFFSETTO:+0100
TZNAME:CET
DTSTART:20271031T010000
END:STANDARD
END:VTIMEZONE
BEGIN:VTIMEZONE
TZID:Europe/Helsinki
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZOFFSETFROM:+0200
TZOFFSETTO:+0300
TZNAME:EEST
DTSTART:20250330T010000
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:STANDARD
TZOFFSETFROM:+0300
TZOFFSETTO:+0200
TZNAME:EET
DTSTART:20251026T010000
END:STANDARD
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZOFFSETFROM:+0200
TZOFFSETTO:+0300
TZNAME:EEST
DTSTART:20260329T010000
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:STANDARD
TZOFFSETFROM:+0300
TZOFFSETTO:+0200
TZNAME:EET
DTSTART:20261025T010000
END:STANDARD
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZOFFSETFROM:+0200
TZOFFSETTO:+0300
TZNAME:EEST
DTSTART:20270328T010000
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:STANDARD
TZOFFSETFROM:+0300
TZOFFSETTO:+0200
TZNAME:EET
DTSTART:20271031T010000
END:STANDARD
END:VTIMEZONE
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20260601
DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20260603
DTSTAMP:20260526T120112Z
CREATED:20260526T114042Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260526T120112Z
UID:10678-1780272000-1780444799@economia.uc3m.es
SUMMARY:4th Carlos III Micro Retreat
DESCRIPTION:1 y 2 de junio\, 2026 \nEl 4th Carlos III Micro Retreat está concebido como una jornada de retiro en la que los miembros del Departamento de Economía de la uc3m\, sus estudiantes de doctorado y expertos internacionales conviven\, debaten y presentan sus trabajos (work-in-progress) \nEl evento tendrá lugar en el Campus Madrid de la UC3M (Puerto de Toledo)\, aula 1A.01
URL:https://economia.uc3m.es/event/4th-carlos-iii-micro-retreat/
CATEGORIES:Conferencias y Workshops
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260601T124500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260601T140000
DTSTAMP:20260421T121803Z
CREATED:20260421T121803Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260421T121803Z
UID:10603-1780317900-1780322400@economia.uc3m.es
SUMMARY:The Global Incumbency Advantage
DESCRIPTION:Benjamin Marx\n(Boston University)\n  \n«The Global Incumbency Advantage»\n  \nFace to Face 15.2.71  –  Room 15.1.39
URL:https://economia.uc3m.es/event/the-global-incumbency-advantage/
LOCATION:15.1.39
CATEGORIES:Seminario de A&E
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://economia.uc3m.es/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Benjamin-Marx-e1776773854715.jpg
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260603T110000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260603T123000
DTSTAMP:20260528T111525Z
CREATED:20260520T102529Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260528T111525Z
UID:10663-1780484400-1780489800@economia.uc3m.es
SUMMARY:Pure backward induction reasoning in dynamic games
DESCRIPTION:Andrés Perea\n(Maastricht University)\n  \n«Pure backward induction reasoning in dynamic games»\n  \nFace-to-face Seminar 15.2.36 – Room 15.1.39
URL:https://economia.uc3m.es/event/pure-backward-induction-reasoning-in-dynamic-games/
LOCATION:15.1.39
CATEGORIES:Seminario de Microeconomía
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://economia.uc3m.es/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/descarga-e1779272569838.jpg
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260604T124500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260604T140000
DTSTAMP:20260507T092603Z
CREATED:20260507T092603Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260507T092603Z
UID:10640-1780577100-1780581600@economia.uc3m.es
SUMMARY:Migration influence on native’s culture in 19th century United States
DESCRIPTION:Tommaso D’Amelio\n(Université Libre de Bruxelles)\n  \n«Migration influence on native’s culture in 19th century United States»\n  \nRoom 15.1.39
URL:https://economia.uc3m.es/event/migration-influence-on-natives-culture-in-19th-century-united-states/
LOCATION:15.1.39
CATEGORIES:Seminario de Enter
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/png:https://economia.uc3m.es/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/fotosito-e1778145899953.png
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260608T124500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260608T140000
DTSTAMP:20260522T083651Z
CREATED:20260421T123244Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260522T083651Z
UID:10607-1780922700-1780927200@economia.uc3m.es
SUMMARY:Estimating Causal Effects of Discrete and Continuous Treatments with Binary Instruments
DESCRIPTION:Iván Fernández-Val\n(Boston University)\n  \n«Estimating Causal Effects of Discrete and Continuous Treatments with Binary Instruments»\n  \nFace to Face 15.2.71  –  Room 15.1.39
URL:https://economia.uc3m.es/event/tba-191/
LOCATION:15.1.39
CATEGORIES:Seminario de A&E
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://economia.uc3m.es/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/2023-09-17_BUEcon-21-scaled-1-e1776774737641.jpg
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260609T124500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260609T140000
DTSTAMP:20260421T125336Z
CREATED:20260421T125336Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260421T125336Z
UID:10611-1781009100-1781013600@economia.uc3m.es
SUMMARY:Testing or selling? Market entry under uncertainty\, paper joint with Chantal Marlats (Université de Tours)
DESCRIPTION:Lucie Ménager\n(Université Paris Panthéon-Assas)\n  \n«Testing or selling? Market entry under uncertainty\, paper joint with Chantal Marlats (Université de Tours)»\n  \nFace-to-face Seminar 15.2.71  – Room 15.1.39
URL:https://economia.uc3m.es/event/testing-or-selling-market-entry-under-uncertainty-paper-joint-with-chantal-marlats-universite-de-tours/
LOCATION:15.1.39
CATEGORIES:Seminario de Microeconomía
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://economia.uc3m.es/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Lucie-Menager-e1776775992334.jpg
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260610T124500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260610T140000
DTSTAMP:20260423T085803Z
CREATED:20260423T085705Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260423T085803Z
UID:10618-1781095500-1781100000@economia.uc3m.es
SUMMARY:Biased Expectations\, Unequal Opportunities: The Role of Teachers in Social Mobility
DESCRIPTION:Michela Carlana\n(Harvard Kennedy School)\n  \n«Biased Expectations\, Unequal Opportunities: The Role of Teachers in Social Mobility»\n  \nFace to Face 15.2.71  –  Room 15.1.39
URL:https://economia.uc3m.es/event/biased-expectations-unequal-opportunities-the-role-of-teachers-in-social-mobility/
LOCATION:15.1.39
CATEGORIES:Seminario de A&E
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://economia.uc3m.es/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Michela-Carlana-e1776934595179.jpg
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260615T124500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260615T140000
DTSTAMP:20260507T090407Z
CREATED:20260507T090407Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260507T090407Z
UID:10633-1781527500-1781532000@economia.uc3m.es
SUMMARY:Tensor Portfolios and Tensor Forecast Combinations
DESCRIPTION:Tae-Hwy Lee\n(University of California Riverside)\n  \n«Tensor Portfolios and Tensor Forecast Combinations»\n  \nFace to Face 15.2.71 – Room 15.1.39
URL:https://economia.uc3m.es/event/tensor-portfolios-and-tensor-forecast-combinations/
LOCATION:15.1.39
CATEGORIES:Seminario de A&E
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://economia.uc3m.es/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/citations-e1778144358870.jpg
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260616T124500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260616T140000
DTSTAMP:20260507T091646Z
CREATED:20260507T091646Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260507T091646Z
UID:10637-1781613900-1781618400@economia.uc3m.es
SUMMARY:Speed\, Accuracy\, and Complexity
DESCRIPTION:Duarte Gonçalves\n(University College London)\n  \n«Speed\, Accuracy\, and Complexity»\n  \nFace-to-face Seminar 15.2.71  – Room 15.1.39
URL:https://economia.uc3m.es/event/speed-accuracy-and-complexity/
LOCATION:15.1.39
CATEGORIES:Seminario de Microeconomía
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260629T124500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260629T140000
DTSTAMP:20260618T073358Z
CREATED:20260618T073358Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260618T073358Z
UID:10699-1782737100-1782741600@economia.uc3m.es
SUMMARY:Aftermarket Deterrence in Essential Input Auctions
DESCRIPTION:Sebastian Bauer\n(Stanford University)\n  \n«Aftermarket Deterrence in Essential Input Auctions»\n  \nFace-to-face Seminar 15.2.71 – Room 15.1.39
URL:https://economia.uc3m.es/event/aftermarket-deterrence-in-essential-input-auctions/
LOCATION:15.1.39
CATEGORIES:Micro-Applied Seminar
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://economia.uc3m.es/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Sebastian-Bauer-e1768384093685.jpg
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260723T124500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260723T140000
DTSTAMP:20260716T090155Z
CREATED:20260713T102739Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260716T090155Z
UID:10761-1784810700-1784815200@economia.uc3m.es
SUMMARY:Networks and Norms (joint with Matteo Marsili\, Intentional Center of Theoretical Physics\, Trieste)
DESCRIPTION:Fernando Vega-Redondo\n(Chinese University of Hong Kong)\n  \n«Networks and Norms (joint with Matteo Marsili\, Intentional Center of Theoretical Physics\, Trieste)»\nABSTRACT: The co-evolution of social networks and social norms gives rise to a wide range of dynamic behavior. For\, as our model highlights\, networks not only support the rise of new norms but also tend to block significant changes in established ones. This is why history often shows that\, before prevailing norms can be dislodged\, incumbent networks must erode. Over time\, therefore\, the evolution of norms tends to display long phases of slow change\, sporadically punctuated by short periods of fast network adjustment in which new norms arise and then gain a robust foothold. Our theoretical framework\, by accommodating different time scales\, sheds light of how such a rise and fall of norms and networks unfold.\n  \nRoom 15.1.39
URL:https://economia.uc3m.es/event/pure-backward-induction-reasoning-in-dynamic-games-2/
LOCATION:15.1.39
CATEGORIES:Seminario de Microeconomía
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://economia.uc3m.es/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/Fernando-Vega-2-e1782896270441.jpg
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260909T124500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260909T140000
DTSTAMP:20260714T111420Z
CREATED:20260714T111420Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260714T111420Z
UID:10764-1788957900-1788962400@economia.uc3m.es
SUMMARY:Realized autoregressive conditional betas by Mariia Artemova\, Christian Francq and Sébastien Laurent
DESCRIPTION:Christian Francq\n(ENSAE)\n  \n«Realized autoregressive conditional betas by Mariia Artemova\, Christian Francq and Sébastien Laurent»\nAbstract: \nWe propose a new model called RACB (Realized Autoregressive Conditional Beta) to model the dynamics of slope parameters (or betas) in a linear regression model with heteroscedastic errors. The proposed model is a quasi score-driven model obtained by modelling the joint distribution of the endogenous variable and the realized betas\, conditional on the explanatory variables and under the assumption that the realized betas are unbiased estimators of the conditional betas.\nThe proposed model extends the Autoregressive Conditional Beta (ACB) model by conditioning the betas on lagged realized betas and by shrinking the conditional betas towards the realized betas.\nWe establish the key stochastic properties of the data generating process and the associated filter\, and argue that the contraction condition for invertibility is not only sufficient but also almost necessary. We also show that when realized betas are not observed for certain observations\, replacing them with the conditional betas is optimal in the Kullback–Leibler divergence sense.\nEmpirically\, for 37 large U.S.\ stocks in a Fama–French three-factor setting\, the RACB model achieves the best performance in a tracking portfolio exercise as it is the most frequently retained model in the Model Confidence Set.\nFace to Face 15.2.71  –  Room 15.1.39
URL:https://economia.uc3m.es/event/realized-autoregressive-conditional-betas-by-mariia-artemova-christian-francq-and-sebastien-laurent/
LOCATION:15.1.39
CATEGORIES:Seminario de A&E
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://economia.uc3m.es/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/Christian-Francq-e1784027499422.jpg
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260910T124500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260910T140000
DTSTAMP:20260714T112002Z
CREATED:20260714T112002Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260714T112002Z
UID:10768-1789044300-1789048800@economia.uc3m.es
SUMMARY:Innovation\, Business Cycles\, and the Climate Transition
DESCRIPTION:Maximilian Konradt\n(CREI)\n  \n«Innovation\, Business Cycles\, and the Climate Transition»\nAbstract: This paper examines the relationship between green innovation and the business cycle\, revealing that while non-green innovation is procyclical\, green innovation is countercyclical. This pattern holds unconditionally over the business cycle and conditional on economic shocks. Motivated by these findings\, we develop a business cycle model with endogenous green and non-green innovation to explain their distinct cyclical behavior. The key mechanism operates through a `green is in the future’ channel: green patents are expected to generate higher profits in the future\, making green patenting less sensitive to short-term economic fluctuations. In general equilibrium\, this channel is reinforced\, making green and non-green innovation effective substitutes. We provide direct evidence supporting the model mechanism using data on market-implied values of green and non-green patents. \n\nFace to Face 15.2.71  –  Room 15.1.39
URL:https://economia.uc3m.es/event/innovation-business-cycles-and-the-climate-transition/
LOCATION:15.1.39
CATEGORIES:Seminario de Macroeconomía
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://economia.uc3m.es/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/unnamed-e1784027935290.jpg
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260915T124500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260915T140000
DTSTAMP:20260714T112635Z
CREATED:20260714T112635Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260714T112635Z
UID:10772-1789476300-1789480800@economia.uc3m.es
SUMMARY:TBA
DESCRIPTION:Mikael Mäkimattila\n(Aalto University)\n  \n«TBA»\n  \nFace-to-face Seminar 15.2.71  – Room 15.1.39
URL:https://economia.uc3m.es/event/tba-190/
LOCATION:15.1.39
CATEGORIES:Seminario de Microeconomía
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://economia.uc3m.es/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/makimattila_portrait-e1784028335551.jpg
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260916T124500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260916T140000
DTSTAMP:20260720T083419Z
CREATED:20260714T113412Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260720T083419Z
UID:10776-1789562700-1789567200@economia.uc3m.es
SUMMARY:The Transition to Parenthood: The Effects of Fertility on Religious and Cultural Values (with Raphael Corbi and Natália Trigo)
DESCRIPTION:Francisco Costa\n(FGV)\n  \n«The Transition to Parenthood: The Effects of Fertility on Religious and Cultural Values (with Raphael Corbi and Natália Trigo)»\nThis paper shows that the transition to parenthood shapes adults’ religious and social values. Using panel and pseudo-panel event-study designs for the United States and Europe\, we document a persistent increase in religious engagement and traditionalist values following the birth of a first child. This shift is not merely a change in social participation (belonging) but also extends to private beliefs and identity (believing)\, suggesting an elasticity in deep-preference parameters that challenges the canonical assumption of adult preference stability. To assess the magnitude of these effects\, we ask how much of the observed decline in religious engagement can be attributed to falling fertility. A counterfactual decomposition indicates that the secular decline in fertility accounts for\, on average\, 12.5 percent of secularization in the West over the past half-century. \n\n\nFace to Face 15.2.71  –  Room 15.1.39
URL:https://economia.uc3m.es/event/tba-192/
LOCATION:15.1.39
CATEGORIES:Applied Seminar
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://economia.uc3m.es/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/Francisco-Costa-e1784028743200.jpg
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260917T124500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260917T140000
DTSTAMP:20260714T114623Z
CREATED:20260714T114623Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260714T114623Z
UID:10780-1789649100-1789653600@economia.uc3m.es
SUMMARY:TBA
DESCRIPTION:Benny Kleinman\n(Stanford University)\n  \n«TBA»\n  \nFace to Face 15.2.71  –  Room 15.1.39
URL:https://economia.uc3m.es/event/tba-193/
LOCATION:15.1.39
CATEGORIES:Seminario de Macroeconomía
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://economia.uc3m.es/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/unnamed-1-e1784029480787.jpg
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260921T124500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260921T140000
DTSTAMP:20260714T115331Z
CREATED:20260714T115331Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260714T115331Z
UID:10784-1789994700-1789999200@economia.uc3m.es
SUMMARY:Perceptions of Race in the Labor Market joint with Pedro C. Sant’Anna and Aiko Schmeisser
DESCRIPTION:Sulin Sardoschau\n(Humboldt University)\n  \n«Perceptions of Race in the Labor Market joint with Pedro C. Sant’Anna and Aiko Schmeisser»\n  \nFace to Face 15.2.71  –  Room 15.1.39
URL:https://economia.uc3m.es/event/perceptions-of-race-in-the-labor-market-joint-with-pedro-c-santanna-and-aiko-schmeisser/
LOCATION:15.1.39
CATEGORIES:Applied Seminar
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://economia.uc3m.es/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/unnamed-1-1-e1784029909159.jpg
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260922T124500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260922T140000
DTSTAMP:20260714T120105Z
CREATED:20260714T120105Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260714T120105Z
UID:10788-1790081100-1790085600@economia.uc3m.es
SUMMARY:Collusion without Patience
DESCRIPTION:Toomas Hinnosaar\n(University of Nottingham)\n  \n«Collusion without Patience»\nAbstract: Tacit collusion is usually linked to repeated interactions between patient firms. We show that it can also arise in a one-shot duopoly. When firms choose capacities and face outsourcing contracts with minimum order quantities\, gaps in feasible outputs allow commitment not to sell intermediate quantities. For a range of parameters\, there exists a collusive equilibrium in which both firms produce less and earn more than under competition. Three other equilibria can also arise: competitive\, leadership\, and miscoordination. We then extend the model to general two-sided limited commitment and show that it yields the same set of equilibria. \n\nFace-to-face Seminar 15.2.71 – Room 15.1.39
URL:https://economia.uc3m.es/event/collusion-without-patience/
LOCATION:15.1.39
CATEGORIES:Seminario de Microeconomía
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://economia.uc3m.es/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/images-e1784030424660.jpg
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260923T124500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260923T140000
DTSTAMP:20260722T081947Z
CREATED:20260714T121528Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260722T081947Z
UID:10792-1790167500-1790172000@economia.uc3m.es
SUMMARY:A Non-Crossing Quantile and Expected Shortfall Regression
DESCRIPTION:Timo Dimitriadis\n(University Frankfurt)\n«A Non-Crossing Quantile and Expected Shortfall Regression»\nAbstract:\nRecently proposed joint and two-step estimators for Expected Shortfall (ES) and Value-at-Risk (VaR) regressions often exhibit crossings of the estimated regression functions in finite samples\, analogous to the classical quantile crossing problem. We propose an M-estimator for joint VaR and ES regression at multiple probability levels that prevents such crossings by incorporating non-crossing constraints into the optimization problem. We establish that\, when crossings arise from finite-sample variability or mild model misspecification\, the constrained estimator is asymptotically equivalent to its unconstrained counterpart\, a result corroborated by simulation studies. The constraints can be imposed over either a subset or a superset of the covariate space\, with the chosen domain acting as a regularization parameter that shrinks the regression functions toward common slopes. We illustrate the practical utility of the proposed method in two applications. First\, in recently proposed macroeconomic regressions for Inflation-at-Risk\, the non-crossing estimator not only eliminates crossings but also stabilizes parameter estimates and produces smoother predictions. Second\, for forecasting VaR and ES of global financial indices using CAViaR-type models\, imposing non-crossing constraints improves out-of-sample forecast performance compared to unconstrained CAViaR as well as classical benchmark models.\n  \n  \nFace to Face 15.2.71  –  Room 15.1.39
URL:https://economia.uc3m.es/event/tba-194/
LOCATION:15.1.39
CATEGORIES:Seminario de Econometría
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://economia.uc3m.es/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/unnamed-2-e1784030733303.jpg
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260924T124500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260924T140000
DTSTAMP:20260714T122937Z
CREATED:20260714T122528Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260714T122937Z
UID:10796-1790253900-1790258400@economia.uc3m.es
SUMMARY:TBA
DESCRIPTION:Maarten De Ridder\n(LSE)\n  \n«TBA»\n  \nFace to Face 15.2.71  –  Room 15.1.39
URL:https://economia.uc3m.es/event/tba-195/
LOCATION:15.1.39
CATEGORIES:Seminario de Macroeconomía
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/png:https://economia.uc3m.es/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/Maarten-De-Ridder-e1784031899665.png
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260928T124500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260928T140000
DTSTAMP:20260714T123702Z
CREATED:20260714T123702Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260714T123702Z
UID:10800-1790599500-1790604000@economia.uc3m.es
SUMMARY:Deforestation as an Option: Land Grabbing in the Brazilian Amazon
DESCRIPTION:Rodrigo R. Soares\n(INSPER)\n  \n«Deforestation as an Option: Land Grabbing in the Brazilian Amazon»\n  \nFace to Face 15.2.71  –  Room 15.1.39
URL:https://economia.uc3m.es/event/deforestation-as-an-option-land-grabbing-in-the-brazilian-amazon/
LOCATION:15.1.39
CATEGORIES:Applied Seminar
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://economia.uc3m.es/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/Rodrigo-Soares-e1784032552193.jpg
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260929T124500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260929T140000
DTSTAMP:20260714T124240Z
CREATED:20260714T124240Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260714T124240Z
UID:10804-1790685900-1790690400@economia.uc3m.es
SUMMARY:TBA
DESCRIPTION:Helene Mass\n(University of Vienna)\n  \n«TBA»\n  \nFace-to-face Seminar 15.2.71 – Room 15.1.39
URL:https://economia.uc3m.es/event/tba-196/
LOCATION:15.1.39
CATEGORIES:Seminario de Microeconomía
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://economia.uc3m.es/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/unnamed-3-e1784032928511.jpg
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260930T124500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20260930T140000
DTSTAMP:20260715T100055Z
CREATED:20260715T100055Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260715T100055Z
UID:10808-1790772300-1790776800@economia.uc3m.es
SUMMARY:Tail Index Regression for Extremal Dependence” (joint work with Paulo M. M. Rodrigues from Banco de Portugal and NOVA School of Business and Economics)
DESCRIPTION:Yannick Hoga\n(Universität Duisburg-Essen)\n  \n«Tail Index Regression for Extremal Dependence” (joint work with Paulo M. M. Rodrigues from Banco de Portugal and NOVA School of Business and Economics)»\n  \nFace to Face 15.2.71 – Room 15.1.39
URL:https://economia.uc3m.es/event/tail-index-regression-for-extremal-dependence-joint-work-with-paulo-m-m-rodrigues-from-banco-de-portugal-and-nova-school-of-business-and-economics/
LOCATION:15.1.39
CATEGORIES:Seminario de Econometría
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://economia.uc3m.es/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/images-1-e1784109466902.jpg
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20261001T124500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20261001T140000
DTSTAMP:20260715T100835Z
CREATED:20260715T100835Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260715T100835Z
UID:10814-1790858700-1790863200@economia.uc3m.es
SUMMARY:TBA
DESCRIPTION:Julian Neira\n(University of Exeter)\n  \n«TBA»\n  \nFace to Face 15.2.71  –  Room 15.1.39
URL:https://economia.uc3m.es/event/tba-197/
LOCATION:15.1.39
CATEGORIES:Seminario de Macroeconomía
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://economia.uc3m.es/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/unnamed-4-e1784110088263.jpg
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20261015T124500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20261015T140000
DTSTAMP:20260722T090207Z
CREATED:20260722T090055Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260722T090207Z
UID:10830-1792068300-1792072800@economia.uc3m.es
SUMMARY:TBA
DESCRIPTION:Manuel García-Santana\n(CREI)\n  \n«TBA»\n  \nFace to Face 15.2.71 – Room 15.1.39
URL:https://economia.uc3m.es/event/tba-198/
LOCATION:15.1.39
CATEGORIES:Seminario de Macroeconomía
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://economia.uc3m.es/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/fc_181114_4665-e1784710907758.jpg
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20261019T124500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20261019T140000
DTSTAMP:20260722T094213Z
CREATED:20260722T094213Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260722T094213Z
UID:10834-1792413900-1792418400@economia.uc3m.es
SUMMARY:TBA
DESCRIPTION:Leopoldo Fergusson\n(Universidad de los Andes)\n  \n«TBA»\n  \nFace to Face 15.2.71 – Room 15.1.39
URL:https://economia.uc3m.es/event/tba-199/
LOCATION:15.1.39
CATEGORIES:Applied Seminar
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://economia.uc3m.es/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/Leopoldo-Fergusson-e1784713213711.jpg
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20261022T124500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20261022T140000
DTSTAMP:20260722T081110Z
CREATED:20260722T081110Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260722T081110Z
UID:10824-1792673100-1792677600@economia.uc3m.es
SUMMARY:Zoning: Misallocation or Externalities?
DESCRIPTION:Chang-Tai Hsieh\n(University of Chicago)\n  \n«Zoning: Misallocation or Externalities?»\n  \nFace to Face 15.2.71  –  Room 15.1.39
URL:https://economia.uc3m.es/event/zoning-misallocation-or-externalities/
LOCATION:15.1.39
CATEGORIES:Seminario de Macroeconomía
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://economia.uc3m.es/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/ChangTaiHsieh_Homepage_500x500-e1784707833448.jpg
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20261026T124500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20261026T140000
DTSTAMP:20260722T105110Z
CREATED:20260722T101514Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260722T105110Z
UID:10838-1793018700-1793023200@economia.uc3m.es
SUMMARY:From Correction to Connection: Relational Approaches to Countering Misinformation (with Cesi Cruz)
DESCRIPTION:Julien Labonne\n(University of Oxford)\n  \n«From Correction to Connection: Relational Approaches to Countering Misinformation (with Cesi Cruz)»\nAbstract:  As social media becomes an important source of political information in many democracies\, citizens are increasingly exposed to misleading content that distorts public discourse and weakens trust in institutions. While most current initiatives assume that misinformation persists because citizens lack the skills\, motivation\, or attention needed to evaluate information accurately\, we argue that it is a feature of relational information environments. This reframing motivates a different approach: using in-person workshops to bring communities together to reflect collectively on how information circulates\, is shared\, and shapes public life. Using media literacy as a vehicle for discussion\, these sessions encouraged participants to navigate disagreement and develop shared norms around information integrity.  We present findings from a randomized controlled trial in 160 villages across the Philippines\, a country often cited as an early case of social media-driven democratic backsliding. Treated individuals perceived less political polarization and reported greater interest in politics. They relied less on Facebook\, YouTube\, and TikTok for political news and engaged more frequently in offline discussion through civic and religious networks. Comparable effects among untreated peers indicate meaningful community-level spillovers. Effects also extended to electoral outcomes: using official electoral results\, we find that\, in treatment villages\, candidates who relied heavily on Facebook advertising underperformed and voters were less responsive to false online rumors about local candidates. In-person\, community-based interventions can change how people engage with political information\, strengthening both informational integrity and democratic accountability. \n  \nFace to Face 15.2.71 – Room 15.1.39
URL:https://economia.uc3m.es/event/from-correction-to-connection-relational-approaches-to-countering-misinformation-with-cesi-cruz/
LOCATION:15.1.39
CATEGORIES:Applied Seminar
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://economia.uc3m.es/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/julien_labonne-e1784715261206.jpg
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20261028T124500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20261028T140000
DTSTAMP:20260722T114612Z
CREATED:20260722T114612Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260722T114612Z
UID:10843-1793191500-1793196000@economia.uc3m.es
SUMMARY:TBA
DESCRIPTION:Daniel Gutknecht\n(Goethe-Universität Frankfurt)\n  \n«TBA»\n\nFace to Face 15.2.71  –  Room 15.1.39
URL:https://economia.uc3m.es/event/tba-200/
LOCATION:15.1.39
CATEGORIES:Seminario de Econometría
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://economia.uc3m.es/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/images-2-e1784720659385.jpg
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20261029T124500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20261029T140000
DTSTAMP:20260722T121811Z
CREATED:20260722T121811Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260722T121811Z
UID:10849-1793277900-1793282400@economia.uc3m.es
SUMMARY:TBA
DESCRIPTION:Kristina Manysheva\n(Columbia University)\n  \n«TBA»\n  \nFace to Face 15.2.71  –  Room 15.1.39
URL:https://economia.uc3m.es/event/tba-201/
LOCATION:15.1.39
CATEGORIES:Seminario de Macroeconomía
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://economia.uc3m.es/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/unnamed-5-e1784722539870.jpg
END:VEVENT
END:VCALENDAR